The Russian annexation of Crimea, which has already started, presents the international community with the need to give a firm response to the Kremlin. Russian author and analyst Alexander Podrabinek notes the West’s responsibility for having strengthened Vladimir Putin’s regime in the first place, and warns of grave consequences if the Kremlin’s plans for Ukraine are allowed to succeed.
According to the state-owned All-Russia Center for the Study of Public Opinion, 73 percent of Russians are against intervention in Ukraine. All the leading opposition forces in Russia have condemned the military invasion and the planned annexation of Crimea. The Institute of Modern Russia publishes excerpts from Russian opposition statements on the situation in Ukraine.
The political and military crisis in Ukraine, instigated by the Kremlin, remains the principal concern for the international community. Donald N. Jensen, Resident Fellow at the Center for Transatlantic Relations at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, analyzes the possible risks—both for Ukraine and for Vladimir Putin’s regime in Russia.
Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych has been deposed; Maidan demonstrators are “appointing” new ministers; and the Party of Regions, which used to provide the pro-Yanukovych majority in the Verkhovna Rada (parliament), has as good as disappeared. Political analyst Tatiana Stanovaya discusses why the regime, which seemed relatively solid only six months ago, has collapsed, and what lessons other authoritarian leaders should draw from this.
Recent developments in Ukraine will once again test the EU-Russia relationship, which has been going through a rough patch. The cooling of relations was noticeable at the last Russia-EU summit in Brussels, as well as at the winter meeting of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) in Strasbourg. The situation threatens to turn into a silent standoff. Paris-based author and analyst Elena Servettaz details the latest twists and turns of the bilateral relationship.
Last week Ukrainian president Viktor Yanukovych returned to work after a four-day sick leave that he took in the middle of a major crisis in his country. According to Donald N. Jensen, resident fellow at the Center for Transatlantic Relations at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, the two-month standoff between Yanukovich’s government and protestors is entering a decisive phase.
Relations between the Kremlin and the European Union have been steadily worsening: Russian officials are increasingly resorting to anti-Western rhetoric, while EU leaders are becoming bolder in their criticism of human rights abuses in Russia. Yet, according to Paris-based author and analyst Elena Servettaz, the Kremlin has found new allies in Europe’s growing far-right movements.
The year 2013 was not an easy one for the United States, and Russian President Vladimir Putin used the situation to strengthen his position both on the world stage and in the post-Soviet space. Donald N. Jensen, Resident Fellow at the Center for Transatlantic Relations at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, argues that the Kremlin should not expect similar diplomatic victories in 2014.
Ukraine remains perhaps the most important topic in Russian foreign policy. Although the Kremlin has succeeded in preventing Ukraine from signing its association agreement with the European Union, it has not yet achieved its main objective: making Ukraine join the Customs Union. Ukraine is prepared to be Russia’s friend in words only, while obtaining lower gas prices and cheap loans. According to political analyst Tatiana Stanovaya, the current truce might prove to be temporary.
In December, after a meeting between Vladimir Putin and Viktor Yanukovych, Moscow announced that it would give Kiev a $15 billion bailout and slash the gas price by one-third as a reward for Yanukovych’s rejection of an association agreement with the European Union. Donald N. Jensen, Resident Fellow at the Center for Transatlantic Relations at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, suggests that the coming year will show whether Ukraine now really belongs to Vladimir Putin.
Page 6 of 11
Our newsletter delivers a digest of analytical articles and op-eds published on our website, along with the latest updates on the IMR activities on a monthly basis.