Last weekend marked the 20th anniversary of one of the key events that shaped Russian modern history—the 1998 financial crisis and the government’s default. Another major discussion in the Russian political discourse this week revolved around a proposal by Putin’s economic aide to “seize” over 500 billion rubles from industrial companies to relieve the country’s tax burden. Finally, Russian experts try to explain the Kremlin’s expansion into Africa.
This week, the news of the killing of three Russian journalists in Central African Republic caused a great stir, with discussions and speculations spanning across all major publications. On a different front, the debates around the pension reform continue as the protests against it took place in dozens of the Russian cities. Finally, in the light of the recent torture video in the Yaroslavl prison, the Russian officials have floated the idea of a penitentiary service reform.
The meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin on July 17thin Helsinki triggered a wave of public indignation and resentment across the United States. Above all, the outrage was elicited by President Trump’s siding with Vladimir Putin on the crucial issue of Russia’s interference in the 2016 election, thus directly undermining the U.S. intelligence’s consensus on the matter. Congress reacted promptly: within days following the Helsinki meeting, both the House and the Senate introduced several bills which, if passed, would add gravitas to the worsening relations between the U.S. and the Putin regime. We have read and summarized the key provisions of these bills below.
This week, experts continued to dissect the outcomes of the highly controversial Helsinki summit and its meaning for the Ukraine and Syria crises. In the meantime, pension reform is moving forward in Russia, despite Putin’s “disliking” its key provisions. Finally, the FSB is investigating an alleged leak of Russia’s newest hypersonic technology to the West. In a bonus section, we focus on the state of affairs in the Russian civil society.
The Putin-Trump summit in Helsinki and its aftermath dominated this week’s news cycle in the Russian media. Another important development was the arrest of former ICR official Alexander Drymanov, which signifies a new round of the ongoing war between the Investigative Committee and the FSB. Finally, the closing remarks on the World Cup and its implications for Russia shaped a third notable storyline.
This recap focuses on the military aspects of Western research into Russia under the current government. RAND analyzes modern political warfare by reviewing cases of Russia, Iran, and ISIS; Chatham House studies Russia’s latest armament program, known as GPV 2027; Atlantic Council assesses the threat of nuclear de-escalation strikes from Moscow.
As the World Cup winds down in Russia, experts are trying to capture its political and social meaning for the country and the regime. Discussions about the highly anticipated Putin-Trump summit are also taking central stage, but expectations are rather low. In the meantime, as the U.S. started the trade war with China last week, the Russian government decided not to stay on the sidelines and raised duties on certain U.S. imports by 25-40 percent.
As the highly anticipated Putin-Trump summit nears, pundits are discussing the main challenges of the meeting and potential outcomes for the U.S-Russia relationship. On the domestic front, as negative opinions about the pension reform persist, the Kremlin prepares to respond. One of the key political developments in the capital was the announcement of the list of candidates who will run for the Mayor’s and the Moscow Region Governor’s offices in the September elections. No member of the liberal opposition passed the electoral filter.
Pension reform continues to concern Russian people and experts the most, with about 90 percent of Russians disapproving and Vladimir Putin’s rating falling to its pre-Crimea level. Another development is the update of the presidential envoys system, which experts see as a devaluation of this bureaucratic institute. Finally, with OPEC-plus agreeing to increase oil production, Russia may rip some significant benefits from the new deal.
This week, Russian people learned that the imminent pension reform—one of the most sensitive but necessary social reforms in the country—is finally upon them. Two other important stories to watch: preparations for the summit between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, which may take place in July in Vienna, and the potential elevation of the role of the State Council as Putin’s power platform for the post-2024 period.
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