The most important question in Russian politics was finally answered at Saturday’s party session of United Russia. Current President Dmitry Medvedev announced that he is stepping down to make way for Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, Russia’s No. 1 politician for the last ten years, to return to the office of the presidency in 2012.
On September 22, the Helsinki Commission of the United States held a briefing on the upcoming elections in Russia. Russian experts shared their views on the procedural side of the elections, their possible outcomes and their importance for the United States and Russia.
Last week Novaya Gazeta published a remarkable article by Liliya Shevtsova, a fellow of the Carnegie Center in Moscow. Shevtsova analyzes the nature of the Russian political regime and makes a disappointing prognosis: the regime’s failure is unavoidable.
For a person of liberal convictions — if he is not a competitor like Gleb Pavlovsky (Foundation for Effective Politics), or a moderate nationalist like Alexander Privalov (Expert magazine), or a historian like myself — there really is nothing with which to compete in the works of INSOR (Russia’s Institute of Contemporary Development) — whether it be “The Image of the Desired Tomorrow” or “Attaining the Future.” (Of course, the democratic opposition also has no small number of caustic words addressed to the Insorian faith in Medvedev — without the Putinite “noose around the neck” — but for now it cannot offer an even remotely real alternative to this faith. A very precise notion about this is given by Semyon Novoprudsky’s essay “Jesters of the Republic”: “As sad as this may be, for now the only strategy for Russia is seen as a relatively painless, yet fundamental demolition of the current system.” But the author himself does not communicate just how this “painless, yet fundamental demolition” might look. Nor, alas, do his colleagues from the democratic camp.)
On September 16, Institute of Modern Russia and the Harriman Institute (CU) hosted a discussion panel entitled “Russian Elections 2011-12: Is There a Chance For Political Opposition”. The answer to that question was, unfortunately, no — unless there are some substantial changes in the political system.
Pavel Khodorkovsky, the oldest son of Russia's No. 1 political prisoner, spoke with Caterina Innocente about his views on the prospects for the social movement and political change in the country.
On September 15, Parliamentary Forum for Democracy convened on Capitol Hill to explore current challenges to democratic development. Experts and officials of several former Soviet republics shared their views on the problems in their countries.
On September 13, a panel of prominent American experts convened at the Carnegie Council for Ethics in International Affairs to discuss the Jackson-Vanik amendment that has been a stumbling block in U.S.-Russian relations for 37 years. According to the expert discussants, the amendment will finally be lifted as a Cold War-era relic upon Russia’s accession to the World Trade Organization.
Last weekend in Russia was marred by a horrible tragedy. An airplane crash killed a hockey team from Yaroslavl. By coincidence, it was Yaroslavl, where a political forum hosted by the Russian president, was taking place.
In his recent article in National Interest, Ariel Cohen, senior research fellow at the Heritage Foundation, discusses the opportunities that went by the wayside of Russian President Dmitry Medvedev’s road to democracy.
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